BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Packwood Pekin

Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Conference: 1A-6 Record: (26-10-0) Overall: (67-32-0) Overall Strength =   63.93

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    L    35.91  25  44   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -27.91      8.91                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    92.64  48  13    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           28.82      6.18                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    W    71.71  28  14    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma               7.88      6.12                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    W *  63.38  67  24   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -0.45     43.45                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W   106.82  47  14   2A   9 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       43.00    -10.00                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W *  82.06  26  14   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            18.24     -6.24                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W    85.84  56   6   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      22.01     27.99                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W *  60.51  28   7   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                -3.32     24.32                      
  9 10/26/2001 Away    W    51.14  20  18    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -12.68     14.68                      
 10 10/31/2001 Home    W *  53.51  14   0   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello               -10.32     24.32                      
 11 11/05/2001 Away    L    38.94  22  49    A  11 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama      -24.88     -2.12                      
 12 09/06/2002 Away    L    50.91   8  12   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -12.91      8.91                      
 13 09/13/2002 Home    W *  43.04  36  20   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -20.79     36.79                      
 14 09/20/2002 Home    W *  64.38  68  24   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal          0.55     43.45                      
 15 09/27/2002 Away    W    87.84  59   7   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      24.01     27.99                      
 16 10/04/2002 Home    W    88.77  25   7   2A   9 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       24.94     -6.94                      
 17 10/11/2002 Away    W    92.70  32   0    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           28.87      3.13                      
 18 10/18/2002 Home    W    90.57  53   3    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           26.74     23.26                      
 19 10/25/2002 Away    L    56.71  24  25    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              -7.12      6.12                      
 20 11/01/2002 Home    W *  89.51  50   0   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                25.68     24.32                      
 21 11/06/2002 Away    W    77.08  37   7   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          13.26     16.74                      
 22 11/11/2002 Away    W    66.71  37  28    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma               2.88      6.12                      
 23 11/16/2002 Neutral L    67.11   7  14   1A   8 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford       3.29    -10.29                      
 24 09/05/2003 Home    W    54.86  15  12   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame          -8.97     11.97                      
 25 09/12/2003 Away    W *  84.10  54   0   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    20.27     33.73                      
 26 09/19/2003 Away    W *  77.43  60   6   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         13.61     40.39                      
 27 09/26/2003 Home    W    87.78  61   6   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      23.96     31.04                      
 28 10/03/2003 Away    W    87.82  21   7   2A   9 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       24.00    -10.00                      
 29 10/10/2003 Home    W    74.64  23   6    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           10.82      6.18                      
 30 10/17/2003 Away    W    88.63  59  14    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           24.80     20.20                      
 31 10/24/2003 Home    L    28.65  14  40    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma             -35.17      9.17                      
 32 10/31/2003 Away    W *  94.56  52   0   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                30.74     21.26                      
 33 11/05/2003 Home    L    52.82  27  28   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -11.01     10.01                      
 34 09/03/2004 Away    W    60.21  33   7   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            -3.62     29.62                      
 35 09/10/2004 Home    W *  61.04  34   0   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -2.79     36.79                      
 36 09/17/2004 Away    W *  76.56  34   0   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                12.74     21.26                      
 37 09/24/2004 Home    L *  49.06  14  35   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -14.76     -6.24                      
 38 10/01/2004 Away    W    98.60  41   0   2A  40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian        34.77      6.23                      
 39 10/08/2004 Away    W *  58.43  43   8   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -5.39     40.39                      
 40 10/15/2004 Away    W    75.30  36  14    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           11.48     10.52                      
 41 10/22/2004 Home    W    58.65  18  14    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              -5.17      9.17                      
 42 10/29/2004 Away    L    70.82  14  17   2A   9 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina        7.00    -10.00                      
 43 09/02/2005 Home    W    62.15  37   6   2A  63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            -1.68     32.68                      
 44 09/09/2005 Away    W *  65.10  35   0   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     1.27     33.73                      
 45 09/16/2005 Home    W *  68.51  35   6   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                 4.68     24.32                      
 46 09/23/2005 Away    L *  49.12   0  24   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -14.71     -9.29                      
 47 09/30/2005 Away    W    78.63  42   7    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           14.80     20.20                      
 48 10/07/2005 Home    W *  62.38  42   0   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -1.45     43.45                      
 49 10/14/2005 Home    W    80.25  50  20    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           16.42     13.58                      
 50 10/21/2005 Away    L    51.71  16  22    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma             -12.12      6.12                      
 51 10/28/2005 Home    L    43.77   0  27   2A   9 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina      -20.06     -6.94                      
 52 08/25/2006 Away    W    63.84  34   6   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction       0.01     27.99                      
 53 09/01/2006 Home    W    43.89  28  21   ZZ  75 ( 26- 37-  0) New London-Danville   -19.93     26.93                      
 54 09/08/2006 Away    W    82.91  42  14   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame          19.09      8.91                      
 55 09/15/2006 Home    W *  61.51  30   8   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                -2.32     24.32                      
 56 09/22/2006 Away    W *  66.10  43   7   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     2.27     33.73                      
 57 09/29/2006 Home    L    30.65  10  34    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma             -33.17      9.17                      
 58 10/06/2006 Home    W    45.57  33  28    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -18.26     23.26                      
 59 10/13/2006 Away    W    93.30  53  13    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           29.48     10.52                      
 60 10/20/2006 Away    L *  52.12  13  34   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -11.71     -9.29                      
 61 10/27/2006 Home    L    47.77   7  30   2A   9 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina      -16.06     -6.94                      
 62 08/24/2007 Home    W    73.78  53  12   2A  62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction       9.96     31.04                      
 63 08/31/2007 Away    W    61.95  41  19   ZZ  75 ( 26- 37-  0) New London-Danville    -1.88     23.88                      
 64 09/07/2007 Home    W    68.86  31  14   2A  44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame           5.03     11.97                      
 65 09/14/2007 Away    W *  54.56  12   0   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                -9.26     21.26                      
 66 09/21/2007 Home    W *  50.04  30   7   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -13.79     36.79                      
 67 09/28/2007 Away    W    78.71  21   0    A  19 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              14.88      6.12                      
 68 10/05/2007 Away    W    82.63  42   3    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           18.80     20.20                      
 69 10/12/2007 Home    W    75.25  25   0    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           11.42     13.58                      
 70 10/19/2007 Home    W *  77.06   7   0   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            13.24     -6.24                      
 71 10/26/2007 Away    L    56.82   0  17   2A   9 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       -7.00    -10.00                      
 72 10/31/2007 Away    L    59.48   6   7   1A  28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   -4.34      3.34                      
 73 08/29/2008 Away    L    76.42  19  20   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        12.59    -13.59  non-district        
 74 09/05/2008 Home    W    79.64  28   6    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           15.82      6.18  non-district        
 75 09/12/2008 Home    L    26.25   0  24    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine          -37.58     13.58                      
 76 09/19/2008 Away    W *  70.10  47   7   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     6.27     33.73                      
 77 09/26/2008 Away    W *  78.56  62  26   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                14.74     21.26                      
 78 10/03/2008 Home    L *  63.06  28  35   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            -0.76     -6.24                      
 79 10/10/2008 Home    W    60.70  48  29   2A  58 ( 40- 55-  0) Eddyville-Blakesburg   -3.12     22.12                      
 80 10/17/2008 Away    L    31.14  30  48    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -32.68     14.68                      
 81 10/24/2008 Away    W    66.50  38  20   2A  54 ( 30- 44-  0) Durant                  2.68     15.32                      
 82 10/29/2008 Away    L    32.32   0  35   1A  17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -31.51     -3.49                      
 83 08/28/2009 Home    L    73.36  16  17   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota         9.54    -10.54  nd                  
 84 09/04/2009 Away    W    61.70  27  26    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           -2.13      3.13  nd                  
 85 09/11/2009 Away    W    59.30  20  14    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           -4.52     10.52                      
 86 09/18/2009 Home    W * 117.04  90   0   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    53.21     36.79                      
 87 09/25/2009 Home    L *  30.51  29  38   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello               -33.32     24.32                      
 88 10/02/2009 Away    L *  67.12  14  20   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch             3.29     -9.29                      
 89 10/09/2009 Away    L    27.76  19  36   2A  58 ( 40- 55-  0) Eddyville-Blakesburg  -36.07     19.07                      
 90 10/16/2009 Home    W    97.09  51   0    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    33.26     17.74                      
 91 10/23/2009 Home    W    82.45  55  18   2A  54 ( 30- 44-  0) Durant                 18.62     18.38                      
 92 08/27/2010 Away    L    59.42  24  42   2A   6 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -4.41    -13.59  ND                  
 93 09/03/2010 Home    L    19.96   6  33   2A  50 ( 49- 45-  0) Mediapolis            -43.87     16.87  ND                  
 94 09/11/2010 Away    L *  41.56  48  49 2 1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello               -22.26     21.26  was 09/10 now 09/11 
 95 09/17/2010 Home    L *  31.06   0  39   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -32.76     -6.24                      
 96 10/01/2010 Home    W *  27.38  21  14   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal        -36.45     43.45                      
 97 10/08/2010 Away    L *  26.16   0  27   1A  40 ( 37- 57-  0) Stanwood North Cedar  -37.67     10.67                      
 98 10/15/2010 Home    L *  14.51   0  28   1A  51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett             -49.32     21.32                      
 99 10/22/2010 Home    W *  61.35  56  21   1A  60 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland     -2.48     37.48                      
      Averages              63.93  30.9 16.4

Best game:  117.04 = 90 point win over Keosauqua Van Buren
Worst game:  14.51 = 28 point loss to Alburnett
Team stdev:  20.70