BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Packwood Pekin

Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Conference: SEI Super-North Record: (20-3-0) Overall: (67-32-0) Overall Strength =   63.93

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Away    L      35.91  25  44   2A 44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -27.91      8.91                      
 2 09/07/2001 Home    W *    92.64  48  13    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           28.82      6.18                      
 3 09/14/2001 Away    W      71.71  28  14    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma               7.88      6.12                      
 4 09/21/2001 Home    W   *  63.38  67  24   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -0.45     43.45                      
 5 09/28/2001 Away    W     106.82  47  14   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       43.00    -10.00                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    W   *  82.06  26  14   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            18.24     -6.24                      
 7 10/12/2001 Away    W *    85.84  56   6   2A 62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      22.01     27.99                      
 8 10/19/2001 Home    W * *  60.51  28   7   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                -3.32     24.32                      
 9 10/26/2001 Away    W      51.14  20  18    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -12.68     14.68                      
10 10/31/2001 Home    W * *  53.51  14   0   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello               -10.32     24.32                      
11 11/05/2001 Away    L      38.94  22  49    A 10 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama      -24.88     -2.12                      
12 09/06/2002 Away    L      50.91   8  12   2A 44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame         -12.91      8.91                      
13 09/13/2002 Home    W      43.04  36  20   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -20.79     36.79                      
14 09/20/2002 Home    W   *  64.38  68  24   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal          0.55     43.45                      
15 09/27/2002 Away    W *    87.84  59   7   2A 62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      24.01     27.99                      
16 10/04/2002 Home    W      88.77  25   7   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       24.94     -6.94                      
17 10/11/2002 Away    W *    92.70  32   0    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           28.87      3.13                      
18 10/18/2002 Home    W      90.57  53   3    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           26.74     23.26                      
19 10/25/2002 Away    L      56.71  24  25    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              -7.12      6.12                      
20 11/01/2002 Home    W * *  89.51  50   0   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                25.68     24.32                      
21 11/06/2002 Away    W      77.08  37   7   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          13.26     16.74                      
22 11/11/2002 Away    W      66.71  37  28    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma               2.88      6.12                      
23 11/16/2002 Neutral L      67.11   7  14   1A  7 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford       3.29    -10.29                      
24 09/05/2003 Home    W      54.86  15  12   2A 44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame          -8.97     11.97                      
25 09/12/2003 Away    W      84.10  54   0   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    20.27     33.73                      
26 09/19/2003 Away    W   *  77.43  60   6   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         13.61     40.39                      
27 09/26/2003 Home    W *    87.78  61   6   2A 62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction      23.96     31.04                      
28 10/03/2003 Away    W      87.82  21   7   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       24.00    -10.00                      
29 10/10/2003 Home    W *    74.64  23   6    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           10.82      6.18                      
30 10/17/2003 Away    W      88.63  59  14    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           24.80     20.20                      
31 10/24/2003 Home    L      28.65  14  40    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma             -35.17      9.17                      
32 10/31/2003 Away    W * *  94.56  52   0   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                30.74     21.26                      
33 11/05/2003 Home    L      52.82  27  28   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35   -11.01     10.01                      
34 09/03/2004 Away    W      60.21  33   7   2A 63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            -3.62     29.62                      
35 09/10/2004 Home    W      61.04  34   0   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -2.79     36.79                      
36 09/17/2004 Away    W * *  76.56  34   0   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                12.74     21.26                      
37 09/24/2004 Home    L   *  49.06  14  35   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -14.76     -6.24                      
38 10/01/2004 Away    W      98.60  41   0   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian        34.77      6.23                      
39 10/08/2004 Away    W   *  58.43  43   8   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -5.39     40.39                      
40 10/15/2004 Away    W      75.30  36  14    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           11.48     10.52                      
41 10/22/2004 Home    W      58.65  18  14    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              -5.17      9.17                      
42 10/29/2004 Away    L      70.82  14  17   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina        7.00    -10.00                      
43 09/02/2005 Home    W      62.15  37   6   2A 63 ( 16- 74-  0) Central Lee            -1.68     32.68                      
44 09/09/2005 Away    W      65.10  35   0   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     1.27     33.73                      
45 09/16/2005 Home    W * *  68.51  35   6   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                 4.68     24.32                      
46 09/23/2005 Away    L   *  49.12   0  24   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -14.71     -9.29                      
47 09/30/2005 Away    W      78.63  42   7    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           14.80     20.20                      
48 10/07/2005 Home    W   *  62.38  42   0   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -1.45     43.45                      
49 10/14/2005 Home    W      80.25  50  20    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           16.42     13.58                      
50 10/21/2005 Away    L      51.71  16  22    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma             -12.12      6.12                      
51 10/28/2005 Home    L      43.77   0  27   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina      -20.06     -6.94                      
52 08/25/2006 Away    W *    63.84  34   6   2A 62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction       0.01     27.99                      
53 09/01/2006 Home    W      43.89  28  21   ZZ 61 ( 26- 37-  0) New London-Danville   -19.93     26.93                      
54 09/08/2006 Away    W      82.91  42  14   2A 44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame          19.09      8.91                      
55 09/15/2006 Home    W * *  61.51  30   8   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                -2.32     24.32                      
56 09/22/2006 Away    W      66.10  43   7   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     2.27     33.73                      
57 09/29/2006 Home    L      30.65  10  34    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma             -33.17      9.17                      
58 10/06/2006 Home    W      45.57  33  28    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -18.26     23.26                      
59 10/13/2006 Away    W      93.30  53  13    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           29.48     10.52                      
60 10/20/2006 Away    L   *  52.12  13  34   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -11.71     -9.29                      
61 10/27/2006 Home    L      47.77   7  30   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina      -16.06     -6.94                      
62 08/24/2007 Home    W *    73.78  53  12   2A 62 ( 26- 64-  0) Columbus Junction       9.96     31.04                      
63 08/31/2007 Away    W      61.95  41  19   ZZ 61 ( 26- 37-  0) New London-Danville    -1.88     23.88                      
64 09/07/2007 Home    W      68.86  31  14   2A 44 ( 57- 36-  0) WB-Notre Dame           5.03     11.97                      
65 09/14/2007 Away    W * *  54.56  12   0   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                -9.26     21.26                      
66 09/21/2007 Home    W      50.04  30   7   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -13.79     36.79                      
67 09/28/2007 Away    W      78.71  21   0    A 18 ( 55- 39-  1) Montezuma              14.88      6.12                      
68 10/05/2007 Away    W      82.63  42   3    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           18.80     20.20                      
69 10/12/2007 Home    W      75.25  25   0    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           11.42     13.58                      
70 10/19/2007 Home    W   *  77.06   7   0   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            13.24     -6.24                      
71 10/26/2007 Away    L      56.82   0  17   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       -7.00    -10.00                      
72 10/31/2007 Away    L      59.48   6   7   1A 28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   -4.34      3.34                      
73 08/29/2008 Away    L      76.42  19  20   2A  5 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        12.59    -13.59  non-district        
74 09/05/2008 Home    W *    79.64  28   6    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           15.82      6.18  non-district        
75 09/12/2008 Home    L      26.25   0  24    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine          -37.58     13.58                      
76 09/19/2008 Away    W      70.10  47   7   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren     6.27     33.73                      
77 09/26/2008 Away    W * *  78.56  62  26   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                14.74     21.26                      
78 10/03/2008 Home    L   *  63.06  28  35   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch            -0.76     -6.24                      
79 10/10/2008 Home    W      60.70  48  29   2A 58 ( 40- 55-  0) Eddyville-Blakesburg   -3.12     22.12                      
80 10/17/2008 Away    L      31.14  30  48    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -32.68     14.68                      
81 10/24/2008 Away    W      66.50  38  20   2A 54 ( 30- 44-  0) Durant                  2.68     15.32                      
82 10/29/2008 Away    L      32.32   0  35   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -31.51     -3.49                      
83 08/28/2009 Home    L      73.36  16  17   2A  5 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota         9.54    -10.54  nd                  
84 09/04/2009 Away    W *    61.70  27  26    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           -2.13      3.13  nd                  
85 09/11/2009 Away    W      59.30  20  14    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           -4.52     10.52                      
86 09/18/2009 Home    W     117.04  90   0   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    53.21     36.79                      
87 09/25/2009 Home    L * *  30.51  29  38   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello               -33.32     24.32                      
88 10/02/2009 Away    L   *  67.12  14  20   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch             3.29     -9.29                      
89 10/09/2009 Away    L      27.76  19  36   2A 58 ( 40- 55-  0) Eddyville-Blakesburg  -36.07     19.07                      
90 10/16/2009 Home    W      97.09  51   0    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    33.26     17.74                      
91 10/23/2009 Home    W      82.45  55  18   2A 54 ( 30- 44-  0) Durant                 18.62     18.38                      
92 08/27/2010 Away    L      59.42  24  42   2A  5 ( 85- 24-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -4.41    -13.59  ND                  
93 09/03/2010 Home    L *    19.96   6  33   2A 50 ( 49- 45-  0) Mediapolis            -43.87     16.87  ND                  
94 09/11/2010 Away    L * *  41.56  48  49 2 1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello               -22.26     21.26  was 09/10 now 09/11 
95 09/17/2010 Home    L   *  31.06   0  39   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -32.76     -6.24                      
96 10/01/2010 Home    W   *  27.38  21  14   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal        -36.45     43.45                      
97 10/08/2010 Away    L   *  26.16   0  27   1A 40 ( 37- 57-  0) Stanwood North Cedar  -37.67     10.67                      
98 10/15/2010 Home    L   *  14.51   0  28   1A 51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett             -49.32     21.32                      
99 10/22/2010 Home    W * *  61.35  56  21   1A 59 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland     -2.48     37.48                      
      Averages              63.93  30.9 16.4

Best game:  117.04 = 90 point win over Keosauqua Van Buren
Worst game:  14.51 = 28 point loss to Alburnett
Team stdev:  20.70